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What Will Happen in 2004?


The rise of digital and fall of film in 2003 has left Thom Hogan predicting some sweeping changes in the photographic industry in 2004.

Hogan has just posted this great article on his prediction for Photographic Developments in 2004. What Will Happen in 2004? includes predictions for the following:

- 'it should be easy to see that film will continue downwards while the impact of digital continues to increase.'
- Eight new DSLRs from Nikon (3), Canon (3) and Fuji (2). The third from Nikon will shake up the industry - the F6 - which will 'be like a medium format camera in 35mm size'.
- Nikon drops compact 35mm development.
- $299 is the new digital compact camera price point.
- At least two traditional camera companies fold (perhaps they get acquired instead).
- Agfa (and perhaps Konica) closes or sells their film plants.
- High profile camera dealers/labs start folding.
- Phones kill the low-end digital compact camera.
- Some films and cameras will disappear from the market - so stock up!







Posted by Darren in our News category on December 07, 2003