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Murphy's Law Calculator

17 October, 2004 9:06 PM

This is a very useful link - it actually calculates 'Murphy's Law' for you! Very cool.

'Mathematicians have now come up with a rule for predicting the law of “anything that can go wrong, will go wrong". They say the formula allows people to calculate the chances of Murphy's law (or Sod's law as it is also know) - and to even try and beat the bad luck.

Previous studies have found the law is not a myth, but this is the first time a formula has been calculated.'

Read more at Murphy's Law Formula - Easy to Use Calculator




i am the mathematician behind the sod's law formula, and i've noticed that the formula i provided British Gas with is slightly different to the one that seems to have been used in the press. So may i suggest that you try this one, as it is the original formula.

(((U+C+I) * (1-S))/2) * A * (1/(1-SinF)) = probablity of Sod's Law Occuring

now the values of U, C, I, S and F are values greater than 0 and less than 1, and A is still 0.7.

You'll find that all the answers will result between 0 and 1 e.g 0.6, which will indicate a 60% chance.

I'm not sure why the formula was changed, but i hope it answers some of your confusions.



phil obayda » 25 October, 2004 11:07 AM

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